Knowledge Base · Questions & Answers

Everything you should know about automated Forex

Structured, honest answers to the questions people actually ask — guided by transparency, independent verification and risk management, not by promises.

⚠️ Informational content. What follows is general information and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
01

Trust & Verification

The most critical question in this space: who and what you can rely on.

+Do forex bots actually work, or are they all scams?

Not all are scams, but the vast majority of mass-marketed ones do not survive over time. A bot is simply code that executes a strategy; it is worth as much as the strategy behind it.

The real distinction is not made by the promised return but by:

  • independently verified history on a real account,
  • transparency about drawdown,
  • convergence between backtest and live.

When these are missing, the likelihood that it is just marketing rises sharply.

Past performance is not an indication or guarantee of future results.
+How do I tell a trustworthy forex bot from a scam?

Look for red flags: guaranteed or steady monthly returns, hidden drawdown, only screenshots instead of a live verified account, a missing or suspiciously perfect backtest, and pressure to buy immediately.

What is considered trustworthy is whatever you can verify yourself: a public verified track record on Myfxbook or a platform like Darwinex, a clear presentation of the worst drawdown, and consistency between history and real execution. 'Trust me' is never enough.

+Why is independent verification so important?

Because numbers a seller publishes on their own cannot be confirmed. Independent verification through third-party platforms — e.g. Myfxbook with full trading history, or Darwinex, which is FCA-regulated — connects directly to the account and does not allow the results to be manipulated.

This way the visitor sees real data, not selected snapshots. It is the difference between being told a result and being able to check it.

+How do I read a Myfxbook account?

Instead of trusting blindly, check the essentials yourself:

  • whether the account is verified,
  • whether it is real or demo,
  • the length of history (the longer, the more reliable),
  • the maximum drawdown,
  • whether the equity curve is smooth or full of abrupt gaps.

A verified, multi-year, real account with a clear drawdown says far more than any promotional image.

02

Metrics & Performance

The numbers you need to understand before judging any result.

+What is CAGR and how do I read a return correctly?

CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) is the compounded annual growth rate — the average yearly return taking compounding into account. It is a more honest measure than a simple average, which can mislead you.

Example: a +50% one year and a −50% the next does not give 0%, but a total loss of 25%. When you read a return, always look at CAGR together with the drawdown and the time period — a number without context says nothing about the risk.

Related: What is CAGR
+What is expectancy and why does it reveal whether a strategy has a real edge?

Expectancy is the average expected result per trade, combining the win rate with the win/loss ratio. It shows whether a strategy has a statistical advantage: positive expectancy means that, over time, the average of the trades produces profit.

Win rate alone is not enough — you can win 70% of the time and still lose money if the few losses are huge. Expectancy is the number that reveals whether there is a real edge or just luck.

+Why is win rate not everything?

A high win rate does not guarantee profitability. What matters as much or more is the Risk/Reward ratio — how much you win when you are right versus how much you lose when you are wrong.

You can win 40% of your trades and be steadily profitable if your wins are large enough compared to the losses. Conversely, a 90% win rate collapses if the one losing trade wipes out dozens of winners. Win rate and Risk/Reward must be read together.

+What is compounding in an automated strategy?

Compounding is the reinvestment of profits, so that each new period earns on top of a larger capital base. It is one of the most underrated forces in investing, but it needs time and consistency to show.

In an automated strategy, compounding magnifies both the profits and the risk — which is why the decision to reinvest or withdraw profits is critical.

03

Risk & Drawdown

Why the survival of capital comes before return.

+What is drawdown and why does it matter more than return?

Drawdown is the maximum drop in capital from a peak to the next lower point before it recovers. It matters more than return because it determines whether you will survive long enough for the return to appear.

A strategy with +80% annually but 57% drawdown demands enormous psychological and capital endurance, while one with +15% and 9% drawdown is far smoother. Drawdown cannot be eliminated — only managed.

+Why can a bot with +80% be riskier than one with +15%?

Because the bigger return figure almost always comes with bigger risk. A +80% return often requires high exposure and deep drawdowns that can reach 50–57% of capital. By contrast, a +15% with 9% drawdown is more stable and sustainable long term.

The question is not 'how much does it make' but 'how much risk do I take to make it' and 'can I endure the worst period without quitting'. The bigger number is not always the better choice.

+Why does stability matter more than maximum return?

As in the fable of the tortoise and the hare, steady and predictable performance beats the impressive but unstable one over the long run. A strategy with controlled risk and low drawdown lets compounding work uninterrupted and, crucially, lets you stay in the game — because it does not force you to quit during a bad period.

+How does a strategy survive crises like 2008, 2020 and 2022?

The real test of a strategy is not the good years but the crises. A resilient approach is tested through periods of extreme volatility (the 2008 financial crisis, the Eurozone debt crisis, COVID 2020, the turbulence of 2022) and uses protective mechanisms:

  • internal crisis-period stop logic,
  • risk calculation via VaR (Value at Risk),
  • avoidance of martingale or scaled position-opening.

The goal is not to maximize profit during the crisis but to ensure the survival of capital until conditions normalize.

+Can a single strategy have different risk profiles?

Yes. The same strategy logic can be applied with a different risk allocation, giving an entirely different return/drawdown profile — without changing the underlying logic, the entry signals or the exit criteria.

What changes is the exposure: a more aggressive version targets higher return with larger drawdown, while a conservative one limits the risk while preserving the core.

+What is leverage and how does it change risk: 1:30 vs 1:500?

Leverage is the ability to control a larger position than your available capital. Leverage by itself is not the risk — it is a multiplier of it.

1:30 (the limit on ESMA-regulated brokers) and 1:500 (international brokers) determine how large a position is allowed, but the real risk comes from the size of the position you actually open relative to your capital. Risk is judged at the level of the whole portfolio, not by the leverage figure.

04

Backtest vs Live

The convergence of history and reality — the hardest problem in algo trading.

+What is overfitting in a backtest?

Overfitting is when a strategy has been 'tailored' so perfectly to historical data that it looks excellent in the backtest but fails live, because it memorized the noise of the past instead of a real, repeating market behavior.

Signs include: a perfect curve with no losses, annual re-optimization of parameters, or different settings per currency pair. The most reliable check is convergence: the same algorithm, without adjustments, performing similarly on history and on a real account.

+Why do backtest numbers often not match live trading?

A nice backtest is easy; the hard part is matching reality. The main causes of divergence are:

  • spreads and commissions the backtest underestimates,
  • slippage and execution delays,
  • price gaps,
  • and above all overfitting.

When the same algorithm is applied to history and live at the same time without annual re-optimization, the convergence of the two becomes measurable proof that the result was not random.

05

Prop Firms & EAs

Automation on top of funded capital.

+Are you allowed to use an EA (Expert Advisor) at prop firms?

It depends on the specific firm. Several prop firms explicitly allow EAs and algorithmic trading on MT4/MT5, while others ban certain types (high-frequency, grid, martingale, copy-trading from an external signal).

The safety rule: permission must be stated in writing in the official terms of service — not in a support chat. Many commercial EAs used by thousands of people can be flagged as 'group trading'. Always check the drawdown rules (often 5% daily / 10% maximum) before you start.

+How much is an algorithmic strategy returning 6% annually on prop capital worth?

A strategy's value is judged not only by its return percentage, but by the capital it is applied to and its stability. A 'modest' 6% annually on substantial funded capital (e.g. hundreds of thousands) can have greater real value than an impressive percentage on a small personal account.

What matters is the combination: controlled risk, compatibility with the prop firm's rules, and consistency that allows scaling of capital.

06

Practical & Legal

Management decisions, taxation and the marketing of this space.

+Should I compound or withdraw my profits?

There is no single right answer — it is a trade-off between growth and safety. Continuous reinvestment maximizes long-term growth but increases risk, since a deep drawdown hits a larger capital base. Periodically withdrawing profits 'locks in' part of the return and reduces total exposure.

Many choose a middle path: reinvest up to a threshold and withdraw above it. The choice is personal.

Not investment advice. Every decision depends on your personal risk profile.
+What about taxation of automated trading in Greece?

In general, profits from transactions in financial instruments are subject to taxation, but the exact treatment depends on the type of instrument, the platform, the broker's country and each person's personal tax situation.

Because the framework is complex and changes, the right move is to consult an accountant or tax advisor for your own case.

This is general information and does not constitute legal or tax advice.
+What are the most common exaggerations forex bot sellers make?

The most common marketing patterns are:

  • guaranteed or 'steady' monthly profits,
  • hiding or downplaying drawdown,
  • showing only selected winning periods,
  • promises of 'zero risk',
  • impressive backtests without a corresponding live verified track record.

When you hear absolute promises with no mention of risk and no independent way to verify them, that alone is a warning sign. In real trading, no return is guaranteed.

Want to see the data yourself?

The entire philosophy of ForexBot rests on exactly this: verify, don't trust blindly. See the live performance, the backtests and the convergence.